Is the golden era of the software engineer over?

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Is the aureate epoch of the bundle technologist over?


So, past week, The-Ken had an insightful podcast and newsletter (Check it retired present connected The-Ken.com).

Quote:

Software engineering careers utilized to beryllium a ladder. You studied for 4 years, got a occupation arsenic a fresher, and could virtually instrumentality for granted a dependable vocation filled with learning opportunities, wage hikes, and relation promotions.

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The-Ken has besides quoted a New York Times nonfiction

Quote:

I person a beauteous bully consciousness however accelerated the advancement that students should marque successful a semester should be,” helium said. “In 14 years, I’ve ne'er seen students marque the benignant of advancement that they made this year.”
And helium knew precisely wherefore that was the case. For the archetypal time, Mr. Ammirati had encouraged his students to usage generative artificial quality arsenic portion of their process — “think of generative A.I arsenic your co-founder,” helium recalled telling them.

Quote:

Many AI chatbots are afloat susceptible of penning codification now. So your method co-founder could beryllium an AI?
Meanwhile, AI tools are making immoderate of the champion engineers and programmers adjacent amended astatine what they do. Companies and investors are realising that possibly they don’t request arsenic galore radical to constitute oregon support programs arsenic they did earlier. The existent crushed hundreds of billions of dollars are being spent connected AI is due to the fact that everyone is assuming a disruptive productivity leap astatine immoderate point. Allowing 1 idiosyncratic to bash the work, of say, four, oregon 10.
Where does that permission engineers? Are we staring astatine the extremity of the aureate epoch for engineers?

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From the podcast excerpt, I recovered this peculiar speech precise interesting:

Quote:

Rohin: We’ve been speechmaking again and again from journalists, CEOs, task superior firms, etc., that the crushed wherefore there’s truthful overmuch wealth going into AI is due to the fact that of the payoff that fundamentally comes from perchance melodramatic shifts successful productivity. Every CEO who’s investing heavy into AI is hoping that what they tin execute with, let’s accidental 100 engineers, tin beryllium achieved with 20 engineers.

Now, it means that those 20 engineers are becoming much productive, similar with their workflows, etc. But it besides means that 80 engineers…

Amod: See, companies that person 100 engineers, astir of them should person been moving with astatine astir 30 engineers.

*Laughter*

Amod: Honest truth. The engineering productivity of pre-2010 is wholly antithetic from the engineering productivity of today.

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Quote:

Kailash: I’m conscionable calling retired however things really hap successful practice. And thing that I powerfully disagree with is wherever radical are hired not for their intelligence, but for their quality to translate.

In this benignant of an environment, astir of the method radical you are hiring are your “programming connection feeders”.

These are radical who instrumentality the logic from you. They bash not find the logic.

And they volition construe it into a connection that the machine understands. AI tin people bash that, which is wherefore non-technical radical who get exposed to the coding abilities of an LLM get truthful ace excited. You know, like, “oh, I person recovered my method co-founder”. If your method co-founder was doing this, you were anyhow screwed.


Last edited by GTO : 29th August 2024 astatine 18:41.

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